The Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains and Revenue-Maximizing Rates /
This paper uses a direct-projections approach to estimate the effect of capital gains taxation on realizations at the state level, and then develops a framework for determining revenue-maximizing rates at the federal level. We find that the elasticity of revenues with respect to the tax rate over a...
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- Sprache:
- Englisch
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Cambridge, Mass.
National Bureau of Economic Research
2020.
- Zusammenfassung:
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This paper uses a direct-projections approach to estimate the effect of capital gains taxation on realizations at the state level, and then develops a framework for determining revenue-maximizing rates at the federal level. We find that the elasticity of revenues with respect to the tax rate over a ten-year period is -0.5 to -0.3, indicating that capital gains tax cuts do not pay for themselves, and that a 5 percentage point rate increase would yield $18 to $30 billion in annual federal tax revenue. Our long-run estimates yield revenue-maximizing capital gains tax rates of 38 to 47 percent.
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- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Anmerkungen:
- August 2020.
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