A Tough Act to Follow: Contrast Effects In Financial Markets /

A contrast effect occurs when the value of a previously-observed signal inversely biases perception of the next signal. We present the first evidence that contrast effects can distort prices in sophisticated and liquid markets. Investors mistakenly perceive earnings news today as more impressive if...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Weitere Titel:
A Tough Act to Follow
Tough Act to Follow
1. Verfasser:
Hartzmark, Samuel M.
Körperschaft:
National Bureau of Economic Research
Weitere Verfasser:
Shue, Kelly
Format:
Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:
Englisch
Veröffentlicht:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2017.
Zusammenfassung:
A contrast effect occurs when the value of a previously-observed signal inversely biases perception of the next signal. We present the first evidence that contrast effects can distort prices in sophisticated and liquid markets. Investors mistakenly perceive earnings news today as more impressive if yesterday's earnings surprise was bad and less impressive if yesterday's surprise was good. A unique advantage of our financial setting is that we can identify contrast effects as an error in perceptions rather than expectations. Finally, we show that our results cannot be explained by a key alternative explanation involving information transmission from previous earnings announcements.
Umfang:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Anmerkungen:
September 2017.
Schlagworte: