Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange /

We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions und...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Weitere Titel:
Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration
1. Verfasser:
Diebold, Francis X.
Körperschaft:
National Bureau of Economic Research
Weitere Verfasser:
Hahn, Jinyong, Tay, Anthony S.
Format:
Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:
Englisch
Veröffentlicht:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1998.
Zusammenfassung:
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions under which a technique of density forecast forecasts. Finally by recent advances in financial risk management, we provide a detailed application to multivariate high-frequency exchange rate density forecasts.
Umfang:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Anmerkungen:
December 1998.
Schlagworte: